Exit Poll Tamil Nadu 2026 Live Updates: Exit poll projections show a neck-and-neck fight between the two alliances between DMK and the AIADMK-led NDA in Tamil Nadu, with Vijay’s TVK emerging as a key factor.
AIADMK-led NDA is poised to win 114-124 seats while incumbent DMK is projected to win 103-113 seats in the Tamil Nadu Assembly Election, according to the CNN-News18 exit poll.
Axis My India has predicted a massive breakthrough for TVK, with the party projected to win 98-120 seats, signaling the possibility of a hung assembly in the state. The ruling DMK, on the other hand, is poised for 92-110 seats, while the opposition AIADMK is projected to secure 22-32 seats.
Any Gains For Vijay?
According to the CNN-News18 exit poll, actor-turned-politician Vijay’s TVK appears to be making inroads in Tamil Nadu, with the party projected to win 4-10 seats.
Matrize, People’s Pulse Predict Win For DMK
According to Matrize, the DMK-led alliance is poised to gain 122-132 seats, while the AIADMK-led NDA alliance is projected to secure 87-100 seats. Actor-turned-politician’s Vijay’s TVK is likely to gain 10-12 seats.
People’s Pulse has projected a comfortable majority for the DMK-led alliance in SPA, with the alliance projected to secure 125-145 seats. The AIADMK-led NDA alliance is poised to secure 65-80 seats in the 234-member legislative assembly.
Vijay’s TVK seems to be making a significant progress in the state, with the party projected to win 18-24 seats.
A Quick Recap
Tamil Nadu recorded a historic voter turnout of over 84% in the 2026 Assembly elections, the highest since Independence. Polling for all 234 seats was held in a single phase on April 23, with strong participation seen across both urban and rural regions.
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While these early trends offer some indication, the final outcome will only be clear when votes are counted on May 4.
Disclaimer: Exit polls are based on voter surveys conducted after voting and are not always accurate predictors of actual results.
